Risk prediction

Jones, N. R., Smith, M. ., Lay-Flurrie, S. ., Yang, Y. ., Hobbs, F. R., & Taylor, C. . (2025). Stroke incidence in heart failure and atrial fibrillation: population cohort study. Br J Gen Pract. http://doi.org/10.3399/bjgp.2024.0470
Bottle, A. ., Adamson, A. ., Zhang, X. ., Hayhoe, B. ., & J, Q. . (2024). What happens between first symptoms and first acute exacerbation of COPD - observational study of routine data and patient survey. Health Soc Care Deliv Res, 12, 1–80. http://doi.org/10.3310/cgtr6370
Xu, Z. ., Usher-Smith, J. ., Pennells, L. ., Chung, R. ., Arnold, M. ., Kim, L. ., … Wood, A. M. (2024). Age and sex specific thresholds for risk stratification of cardiovascular disease and clinical decision making: prospective open cohort study. BMJ Med, 3, e000633. http://doi.org/10.1136/bmjmed-2023-000633
Kallis, C. ., Calvo, R. A., Schuller, B. ., & Quint, J. K. (2023). Development of an Asthma Exacerbation Risk Prediction Model for Conversational Use by Adults in England. Pragmat Obs Res, 14, 111–125. http://doi.org/10.2147/por.s424098
Livingstone, S. ., Morales, D. R., Fleuriot, J. ., Donnan, P. T., & Guthrie, B. . (2023). External validation of the QLifetime cardiovascular risk prediction tool: population cohort study. BMC Cardiovasc Disord, 23, 194. http://doi.org/10.1186/s12872-023-03209-8
Bottle, A. ., Newson, R. ., Faitna, P. ., Hayhoe, B. ., & Cowie, M. R. (2022). Risk prediction of mortality for patients with heart failure in England: observational study in primary care. ESC Heart Fail. http://doi.org/10.1002/ehf2.14250
Chung, S. C., O’Brien, B. ., Lip, G. Y. H., Fields, K. G., Muehlschlegel, J. D., Thakur, A. ., … Providencia, R. . (2022). Prognostic model for atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery: a UK cohort study. Clin Res Cardiol. http://doi.org/10.1007/s00392-022-02068-1
Xu, Z. ., Arnold, M. ., Sun, L. ., Stevens, D. ., Chung, R. ., Ip, S. ., … Wood, A. M. (2022). Incremental value of risk factor variability for cardiovascular risk prediction in individuals with type 2 diabetes: results from UK primary care electronic health records. Int J Epidemiol. http://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyac140
Livingstone, S. J., Guthrie, B. ., Donnan, P. T., Thompson, A. ., & Morales, D. R. (2022). Predictive performance of a competing risk cardiovascular prediction tool CRISK compared to QRISK3 in older people and those with comorbidity: population cohort study. BMC Med, 20, 152. http://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-022-02349-6
Hageman, S. H. J., McKay, A. J., Ueda, P. ., Gunn, L. H., Jernberg, T. ., Hagström, E. ., … Visseren, F. L. J. (2022). Estimation of recurrent atherosclerotic cardiovascular event risk in patients with established cardiovascular disease: the updated SMART2 algorithm. Eur Heart J. http://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehac056